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"Dynamic Analysis" A sound approach rooted in observation of real-time empirical trace-data, cross-correlated for consistency with relevant concomitant factors and traditional fundamental analysis.
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"Dynamic Reality" By the time the 8-K, 10-Q or newspaper story is released --- it is too late! Life is dynamic, current conditions interact to create current results, future events are unknown. Historic results do not determine future performance, thus technical analysis "explains" past behavior but cannot predict beyond a random walk, and the projection of fundamental analysis is similarly a fallacy of logic.
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"Dynamic Results" One day we were approached by an accountant/auditor/knowlegeable-investor after he had just purchased shares in a national large-pad retailer. He sought our post-purchase advice on his acquisition. The retailer had a strong history of growth and was projecting a 15-18% increase in long-term sales. The value of the stock had already risen in the few days since it was acquired. Based on "Dynamic Analysis" we pointed out to the gentleman that there was a problem, as the retailer had been cutting back the number of hours that its stores were open (an indicator of declining sales). We suggested he consider taking some defensive actions. Four months later the retailer announced that sales had fallen, and immediately so did the value of their shares --- but it was too late for those who rely on News Stories, Press Releases, "Conference Calls", 8-K and 10-Q announcements.
In our ongoing extensive research, we came across a company that was paying a rather substantial dividend return in excess of 7%. Based on fundamental analysis, one would not purchase this stock (the high yield indicating a troubled company). Based on "Dynamic Analysis" the stock was purchased with a dividend yield of over 11%, and the company was reasonably projected to increase its dividend (40-80%) at the next adjustment, with the expectation of a resulting rise in the value of the stock. About four months later, the company announced a dividend increase of 60% (giving us a yield of almost 18%) and the expected rise in the value of the stock occurred.
Sober independent research using "Dynamic Analysis". Quality, not quantity. Available only by subscription, delivered by email. The great, the good and the ugly before awareness sets in. One small clue from our research, will more than pay for a year of our service. Click on "More Information" below for details and to view a sample email issue. Only a limited number of subscriptions will be sold, after which you may apply to be placed on the waiting list (this is research for a few, not a mass-market newsletter). To begin benefiting from "Dynamic Analysis" click on "Subscribe" below.
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